Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Mary's
West Coast
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#60
Expected Predictive Rating+8.3#57
Pace60.7#305
Improvement-1.8#255

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#60
Improvement-2.2#293

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#60
Improvement+0.4#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.4% n/a n/a
First Round1.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2014 113   New Mexico St. W 83-71 76%     1 - 0 +12.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2014 220   Denver W 78-62 90%     2 - 0 +10.0 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 23, 2014 102   UC Irvine W 72-69 74%     3 - 0 +4.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Nov 29, 2014 154   Cal Poly W 82-56 83%     4 - 0 +23.7 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 06, 2014 51   Boise St. L 71-82 56%     4 - 1 -4.7 +3.1 +3.1
  Dec 13, 2014 71   @ Creighton W 71-67 OT 44%     5 - 1 +13.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 16, 2014 202   Northern Arizona L 71-73 88%     5 - 2 -6.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 19, 2014 37   @ St. John's L 47-53 31%     5 - 3 +7.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 22, 2014 127   Northeastern W 72-68 OT 79%     6 - 3 +3.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Dec 27, 2014 163   Santa Clara W 73-60 85%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +10.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Dec 29, 2014 128   San Francisco W 69-56 79%     8 - 3 2 - 0 +12.5 -0.3 -0.3
  Jan 01, 2015 98   @ Pepperdine W 68-59 53%     9 - 3 3 - 0 +16.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Jan 03, 2015 238   @ Loyola Marymount W 72-63 81%     10 - 3 4 - 0 +7.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Jan 06, 2015 341   Morgan St. W 78-52 98%     11 - 3 +9.5 -8.3 -8.3
  Jan 10, 2015 217   @ Pacific W 54-47 77%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +7.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 15, 2015 92   San Diego W 70-58 72%     13 - 3 6 - 0 +13.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Jan 17, 2015 28   BYU W 82-77 45%     14 - 3 7 - 0 +14.1 +4.6 +4.6
  Jan 22, 2015 7   @ Gonzaga L 47-68 10%     14 - 4 7 - 1 +1.0 +11.0 +11.0
  Jan 24, 2015 119   @ Portland W 74-64 58%     15 - 4 8 - 1 +16.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 29, 2015 238   Loyola Marymount W 68-54 91%     16 - 4 9 - 1 +6.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 31, 2015 98   Pepperdine L 62-67 73%     16 - 5 9 - 2 -3.5 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 07, 2015 217   Pacific W 73-58 89%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +9.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 12, 2015 28   @ BYU L 60-82 25%     17 - 6 10 - 3 -7.1 +7.4 +7.4
  Feb 14, 2015 92   @ San Diego W 69-62 2OT 51%     18 - 6 11 - 3 +14.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Feb 19, 2015 119   Portland W 68-51 77%     19 - 6 12 - 3 +17.2 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 21, 2015 7   Gonzaga L 60-70 22%     19 - 7 12 - 4 +6.2 +8.1 +8.1
  Feb 26, 2015 128   @ San Francisco W 84-53 60%     20 - 7 13 - 4 +36.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Feb 28, 2015 163   @ Santa Clara L 70-71 69%     20 - 8 13 - 5 +1.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Mar 07, 2015 119   Portland L 52-69 68%     20 - 9 -13.9 +1.5 +1.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 3.4% 3.4% 11.8 0.9 2.4 0.1 96.6 3.4%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 11.8 0.9 2.4 0.1 96.6 3.4%